As the debate on Iran rages in the United States, the hawks need to examine the 2003 Iraq War and its aftermath, pondering the wisdom of George Santayana - "Those who fail to learn from history are doomed to repeat it". Defeating Saddam Hussein's army was the easy part; what followed proved catastrophic for both the United States and Iraq.
Now, the Pentagon's two aircraft carriers stationed in the Arabian Gulf have the coordinates for the Iranian targets. So too has the Israeli Air Force. As for the timing, some hawks see a window of opportunity for US President George Bush to strike Iran between the US presidential election on November 4 and the inauguration of his successor on January 20, 2009.
But, no matter when the US or Israel accomplishes its self-appointed mission, the key question remains: What then? The short answer is Iran's response will be intense and all-encompassing.
The warnings about Tehran's all-out backlash have come from high officials in the US and outside. "I think everybody recognises what the consequences of any kind of conflict [in Iran] would be," said US Defence Secretary Robert Gates.
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9:52 PM
Moderate Islamist here
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